What is a banking or financial system collapse? What happens to the system when those who are supposed to fund future economic activity, end up saddled with distressed assets and are no longer engines of economic productivity? Does the system collapse? It might. But there's a way out.
From the little experience that I have in auditing banks, I will try to explain how it really happens.
Let's start this explanation with a story.
How does one source a loan?
Ashwin wants to start a business. To start a business, he will need capital i.e. money. He either brings in his own equity (personal funds) or he uses debt (loans) to fund his business.
Debt is obviously not going to fund his entire business activity. No banker/lender in his right mind will lend him any money without Ashwin himself investing his own money. This is how the banker/lender ensures that the promoter will not just abandon his business when it becomes unsustainable. If Ashwin has pumped in his own money into his business, he is more likely to make sure that it makes profits. Or at least try till he succeeds. After all a lender will only fund a profitable business.
To estimate future profitability of a business, a lot of financial analysis is conducted. We'll get to that a little later.
Due diligence
Bankers have various measures to make sure that there is adequate equity of the promoter. The most basic among these measures is the debt-equity ratio. It measures the Total Amount of Debt against the Total Amount of equity. Say if Ashwin's business has his own money (equity) worth ₹100 and Debt worth ₹200, then the debt-to-equity ratio is 2:1. This used along with the financial leverage ratio gives a very crude idea to a lender about the amount of debt in the company and the ability of a business to meet its financial obligations.
Basically, a highly leveraged company means a company with high amount of debt in its books of account/business. A highly leveraged company has to make a lot of fixed interest payments. Hence, it will have little surplus profits remaining that could be used to fund future business expansion (if used as equity infusion for business expansion)
This is referred to as internal accruals. This surplus can be distributed to the shareholder/owners of the business or invested back into the business.
Every industry has a norm to which the lenders/bankers use to analyse a loan proposal. For each new loan proposal that comes to a lender/banker, a project report has to be submitted. This project report is authored by a Chartered Accountant(CA). He analyses the future business proposal, the estimation of revenue, costs and value of the assets hypothecated as security for a loan. He also assesses the viability of the proposal in general.
Most of the numbers that this report relies on is sourced from the financial statements of the entity in question. The basis for future profitability estimation and valuation of assets (and as a result valuation of the business) is dependent on the foundation of the numbers stated in the audited financial statements of the most recent, preceding, accounting year.
Who is eligible to audit banks/financial institutions?
The money that is used to disburse loans to fund economic activity by the banker/lender, is owned by the shareholders or the depositors. Hence, there has to be a lot of due diligence done before a loan is sanctioned to a lender. Hence, bankers/lenders have some of the most stringent auditing norms that are prescribed by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI). The CAs who are eligible to conduct bank audits have to be empaneled by the RBI. Only the empaneled auditors(audit firms) are eligible to conduct bank audits. Not all firms qualify, and only those who do, are eligible to be appointed as auditors of banks.
A similar empaneled group of auditors are identified to conduct audits of non banking financial institutions. NBFCs have a similar business model of lending money to borrowers. But, they are not allowed to receive deposits like banks. Banks receive depositors' money for lending to their customer under strict norms of the RBI. NBFCs also are subject to lending norms, but they are not as stringent as the ones that are applicable to banks.
The auditors who are empaneled are eligible to conduct two types of audits - statutory audits and concurrent audits. Concurrent audit is an extension of the internal audit function of the bank/financial institution. These are conducted at branch level, circle level, regional office level and central office level.
If a bank/financial institution has a full fledged internal audit department, then the concurrent audit function isn't as extensive as it would be in case if there wasn't an internal audit department.
The other type of audit is the statutory audit function. This function entails expressing an opinion on the financial statements of a bank/financial institution. This is a really crucial function. The performance of the statutory audit function informs the shareholders of the financial position of the entity. Based on this opinion the shareholders can assess the future viability of the business.
A similar audit function is also applicable to other businesses. The norms differ from industry to industry. The regulators for these industries are responsibile for implementing the rules and regulations for their respective industries.
Who sets the rules and regulations with respect to the audit function?
The nodal institution of CAs, the Institiute of Chartered Accountants of India (ICAI), imposes professional responsibilities on its members. The ICAI regulates the auditing profession in India. Hence, all audit related rules and regulations that are imposed on CAs, and also discharge of other services by a CA in his capacity as a member of the ICAI, comes directly under the purview of the ICAI.
What did Ashwin do to fund his business?
Let us go back to Ashwin. His company Ashwin Ltd has been in the business of producing product X,Y, ZA, B, C & D for 5 years now. His business is picking up and he wants to move into a different business geography. He will need to set up a new manufacturing plant and buy raw material to manufacture these products. He will also need to hire new employees and pay them competitive wages. He only has ₹400 crores. He goes to a bank called MOLGA. MOLGA relies on the project report of the new venture of Ashwin Ltd and the financial statements of Ashwin Ltd that are audited by a CA.
The Audit Opinion
Based on the audit opinion which is contained in the audit report, the user of the financial statements and audit report makes an informed decision about the viability of the business and the numbers that are contained in the financial statements. Hence, the function discharged by CAs in various capacities are extremely important to a lot of people who use them in good faith.
So Ashwin Ltd gets a loan of ₹800 crores based on the analysis done by MOLGA on the future business prospects. The foundation for this analysis is the financial information contained in the financial statements of Ashwin Ltd. The opinion expressed by Ashwin Ltd's auditor either validates the financial assertions in the financial statements or disagrees with it. Let's say it agrees with it. Then, in effect the auditor has issued an 'Unqualified Opinion' on the financial statements of Ashwin Ltd.
What about the numbers?
What if all the numbers that have been used to analyse the loan proposal of Ashwin Ltd of ₹800 crores have been fudged? What if those who are supposed to rely on a piece of paper containing financial information, that will determine the destiny of the money pumped in by shareholders, and that borrowed from depositors, make a decision on the viability of a loan proposal based on financial information that has been 'cooked up'?
Imagine if this pattern is far more prevalent than what can be discerned. What would that do to the financial system?
P.S. To be continued